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Market Risks Flashing Red? Thumbnail

Market Risks Flashing Red?

Setbacks remain likely, whether in the form of a second wave of infections and shutdowns, a slower-then-expected rebound in employment or consumer confidence, or political factors such as the current unrest or pending election. Such setbacks could easily result in more volatility. Conclusion: Market Risks remain despite rebound.

Reopening on Track, But Protests Introduce New Risks Thumbnail

Reopening on Track, But Protests Introduce New Risks

We are now three weeks or more into the start of a new environment for the spread of the virus. Not only has there been no significant increase in the case growth rate, but case growth itself has trended back down to around 20,000 per day. The real question now is whether recent public protests will generate another wave of infections. We won’t know the answer for at least another two weeks, but this possibility is something we must keep an eye on through June.

A Letter to a Younger Generation (Mine included) Thumbnail

A Letter to a Younger Generation (Mine included)

In light of the extraordinarily tough spring we have all had to endure, and now the abhorrent violence spreading throughout many of our great American cities, I thought this important message should be shared as a reminder of the challenges that our parents and grandparents lived through and overcome.

Is the Recent Downturn Providing a Tax-Saving Opportunity for Non-qualified Stock Options (NQSOs)? Thumbnail

Is the Recent Downturn Providing a Tax-Saving Opportunity for Non-qualified Stock Options (NQSOs)?

The recent market downturn and volatility resulting from the Coronavirus lockdown may have created a tax-savings opportunity for certain non-qualified stock option (NQSO) holders. If you have exercised options at a low valuation, held onto your shares and your company stock price rebounds, you could realize a tax savings when you ultimately sell the stock. But there are some critical considerations to keep in mind.

Assessing the Economic Damage from the Coronavirus Pandemic Thumbnail

Assessing the Economic Damage from the Coronavirus Pandemic

Yesterday, we talked about how the coronavirus pandemic itself can be brought under control, and how in many countries it already has been. Here in the U.S., we are not there yet, but we can reasonably expect to get there in the next month or so. That is the good news. But when the virus is brought under control...

The Corona Virus Pandemic:  A Solvable Problem? Thumbnail

The Corona Virus Pandemic: A Solvable Problem?

Yesterday, we talked about the big picture around the coronavirus crisis: the pandemic itself, the likely economic effects, and, last but certainly not least, the market reactions. Next, I want to start a more detailed discussion of each component. We will deal with the pandemic today, the economy tomorrow, and the markets on Friday. Although the big picture provides valuable context, there is also quite a bit to be gained by diving deeper into each component.

The Corona Virus Pandemic:  Looking at the Big Picture Thumbnail

The Corona Virus Pandemic: Looking at the Big Picture

With everything that is happening in the world, now is a good time to step back and think about where we are and where we might be going. There is a tremendous amount of information available. But what’s missing is a framework for that information that would help clarify the big picture. What I want to do today is outline how I see that big picture, which will hopefully provide a framework to understand where we are headed.

A Time to Give Thanks Thumbnail

A Time to Give Thanks

One of the best ways to show gratitude is simply taking a couple of minutes, every day, to write down three things you are grateful for. They don’t have to be big. My own, on occasion, have included a nice hot cup of tea. The value comes from focusing, even for a short time, on the good things in life, rather than the problems.

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